- Lewis, Michael.
Flash Boys.
New York: W. W. Norton, 2014.
ISBN 978-0-393-24466-3.
-
Back in the bad old days before regulation of financial markets,
one of the most common scams perpetrated by stockbrokers
against their customers was
“front running”.
When a customer placed an order to buy a large block of stock, which
order would be sufficient to move the market price of the stock
higher, the broker would first place a smaller order to buy the same
stock for its own account which would be filled without moving the
market very much. Then the customer order would be placed, resulting
in the market moving higher. The broker would then immediately sell
the stock it had bought at the higher market price and pocket the
difference. The profit on each individual transaction would be
small, but if you add this up over all the volume of a broker's trades
it is substantial. (For a sell order, the broker simply inverts the sense
of the transactions.) Front running amounts to picking the customer's
pocket to line that of the broker: if the customer's order were placed
directly, it would execute at a better price had it not been front run.
Consequently, front running has long been illegal and market regulators
look closely at transaction histories to detect evidence of such
criminality.
In the first decade of the 21st century, traders in the U.S. stock market
discovered the market was behaving in a distinctly odd fashion. They had
been used to seeing the bids (offers to buy) and asks (offers to sell) on
their terminals and were accustomed to placing an order and seeing it hit
by the offers in the market. But now, when they placed an order, the
offers on the other side of the trade would instantly evaporate, only
to come back at a price adverse to them. Many people running hundreds of
billions of dollars in hedge, mutual, and pension funds had no idea what
was going on, but they were certain the markets were rigged against them.
Brad Katsuyama, working at the Royal Bank of Canada's Wall Street office,
decided to get to the bottom of the mystery, and eventually discovered
the financial equivalent of what you see when you lift up a sheet of
wet cardboard in your yard. Due to regulations intended to make
financial markets more efficient and fair, the monolithic stock exchanges
in the U.S. had fractured into dozens of computer-mediated exchanges
which traded the same securities. A broker seeking to buy stock on behalf
of a customer could route the order to any of these exchanges based upon
its own proprietary algorithm, or might match the order with that of another
customer within its own “dark pool”, whence the transaction
was completely opaque to the outside market.
But there were other players involved. Often co-located in or near the
buildings housing the exchanges (most of which are in New Jersey, which has
such a sterling reputation for probity) were the servers of
“high
frequency traders”
(HFTs), who placed and cancelled orders in times
measured in microseconds. What the HFTs were doing was, in a nutshell,
front running. Here's how it works: the HFT places orders of a minimum size
(typically 100 shares) for a large number of frequently traded stocks on
numerous exchanges. When one of these orders is hit, the HFT immediately
blasts in orders to other exchanges, which have not yet reacted to the
buy order, and acquires sufficient shares to fill the original order before
the price moves higher. This will, in turn, move the market higher and
once it does, the original buy order is filled at the higher price. The
HFT pockets the difference. A millisecond in advance can, and does, turn into
billions of dollars of profit looted from investors. And all of this is
not only completely legal, many of the exchanges bend over backward to
attract and support HFTs in return for the fees they pay, creating
bizarre kinds of orders whose only purpose for existing is to
facilitate HFT strategies.
As Brad investigated the secretive world of HFTs, he discovered the
curious subculture of Russian programmers who, having spent part of
their lives learning how to game the Soviet system, took naturally
to discovering how to game the much more lucrative world of Wall
Street. Finally, he decides there is a business opportunity in creating
an exchange which distinguishes itself from the others by not being
crooked. This exchange, IEX, (it was originally to be called
“Investors Exchange”, but the founders realised that the
obvious Internet domain name, investorsexchange.com, could be
infelicitously parsed into three words as well as two), would
include technological constraints (including 38 miles of fibre optic
cable in a box to create latency between the point of presence where
traders could attach and the servers which matched bids and asks)
which rendered the strategies of the HFTs impotent and obsolete.
Was it conceivable one could be successful on Wall Street by
being honest? Perhaps one had to be a Canadian to entertain
such a notion, but in the event, it was. But it wasn't easy. IEX
rapidly discovered that Wall Street firms, given orders by customers
to be executed on IEX, sent them elsewhere to venues more profitable
to the broker. Confidentiality rules prohibited IEX from identifying
the miscreants, but nothing prevented them, with the brokers'
permission, from identifying those who weren't crooked.
This worked quite well.
I'm usually pretty difficult to shock when it comes to the underside
of the financial system. For decades, my working assumption is
that anything, until proven otherwise, is a scam aimed at picking
the pockets of customers, and sadly I have found this presumption
correct in a large majority of cases. Still, this book was
startling. It's amazing the creepy crawlers you see when
you lift up that piece of cardboard, and to anybody with an
engineering background the rickety structure and fantastic
instability of what are supposed to be the capital markets of
the world's leading economy is nothing less than shocking.
It is no wonder such a system is prone to
“flash crashes”
and other excursions. An operating system designer who built such
a system would be considered guilty of malfeasance (unless, I suppose, he
worked for Microsoft, in which case he'd be a candidate for employee of
the year), and yet it is tolerated at the heart of a financial
system which, if it collapses, can bring down the world's economy.
Now, one can argue that it isn't such a big thing if somebody shaves a
penny or two off the price of a stock you buy or sell. If you're a
medium- or long-term investor, that'll make little difference
in the results. But what will make your blood boil is that the stock
broker with whom you're doing business may be complicit in
this, and pocketing part of the take. Many people in the real world
look at Wall Street and conclude “The markets are rigged; the
banks and brokers are crooked; and the system is stacked against the
investor.” As this book demonstrates, they are, for the most
part, absolutely right.
- Howe, Steven D.
Honor Bound Honor Born.
Seattle: Amazon Digital Services, 2011.
ASIN B005JPZ4LQ.
-
During the author's twenty year career at the Los Alamos
National Laboratory, he worked on a variety of technologies
including nuclear propulsion and applications of nuclear
power to space exploration and development. Since the
1980s he has been an advocate of a “power rich”
approach to space missions, in particular lunar and Mars
bases.
Most NASA design studies for bases have assumed that almost all of the
mass required to establish the base and supply its crew must be
brought from the Earth, and that electricity will be provided by solar
panels or radiothermal generators which provide only limited
amounts of power. (On the Moon, where days and nights are two weeks
long, solar power is particularly problematic.) Howe explored how
the economics of establishing a base would change if it had a compact
nuclear fission reactor which could produce more electrical and thermal
power (say, 200 kilowatts electrical) than the base required. This
would allow the resources of the local environment to be exploited
through a variety of industrial processes: “in-situ resource
utilisation” (ISRU), which is just space jargon for living off the
land.
For example, the Moon's crust is about 40% oxygen, 20% silicon, 12%
iron, and 8% aluminium. With abundant power, this regolith can be
melted and processed to extract these elements and recombine them
into useful materials for the base: oxygen to breathe, iron for
structural elements, glass (silicon plus oxygen) for windows and
greenhouses, and so on. With the addition of nutrients and trace
elements brought from Earth, lunar regolith can be used to grow crops
and, with composting of waste many of these nutrients can be
recycled. Note that none of this assumes discovery of water ice
in perpetually shaded craters at the lunar poles: this can be done
anywhere on the Moon. If water is present at the poles, the need
to import hydrogen will be eliminated.
ISRU is a complete game-changer. If Conestoga wagons had to set out
from the east coast of North America along the Oregon Trail carrying
everything they needed for the entire journey, the trip would have
been impossible. But the emigrants knew they could collect water,
hunt game to eat, gather edible plants, and cut wood to make repairs,
and so they only needed to take those items with them which weren't
available along the way. So it can be on the Moon, and to an even
greater extent on Mars. It's just that to liberate those necessities
of life from the dead surface of those bodies requires lots of
energy—but we know how to do that.
Now, the author could have written a dry monograph about lunar ISRU
to add to the list of technical papers he has already published on
the topic, but instead he made it the centrepiece of this science
fiction novel, set in the near future, in which Selena Corp mounts
a private mission to the Moon, funded on a shoestring, to land
Hawk Stanton on the lunar surface with a nuclear reactor and what
he needs to bootstrap a lunar base which will support him until he
is relieved by the next mission, which will bring more settlers
to expand the base. Using fiction as a vehicle to illustrate a
mission concept isn't new: Wernher von Braun's original draft
(never published) of
The
Mars Project was also a novel based upon his mission
design (when the book by that name was finally published in 1953, it
contained only the technical appendix to the novel).
What is different is that while by all accounts of those who have
read it, von Braun's novel definitively established that he made the
right career choice when he became an engineer rather than a
fictioneer, Steven Howe's talents encompass both endeavours. While
rich in technical detail (including an appendix which cites
research papers regarding technologies used in the novel), this is
a gripping page-turner with fleshed-out and complex characters,
suspense, plot twists, and a back story of how coercive government
reacts when something in which it has had no interest for decades
suddenly seems ready to slip through its edacious claws. Hawk is
alone
and a long way from home, so that any injury or illness is a potential
threat to his life and to the mission. The psychology of living and
working in such an environment plays a part in the story. And these
may not be the greatest threat he faces.
This is an excellent story, which can be read purely as a thriller,
an exploration of the potential of lunar ISRU, or both. In an afterword
the author says, “Someday, someone will do the missions I have
described in this book. I suspect, however, they will not be
Americans.” I'm not sure—they may be Americans, but
they certainly won't work for NASA. The cover illustration is brilliant.
This book was originally published in 1997 in a
paperback edition by Lunatech
Press. This edition is now out of print and used copies
are scarce and expensive. At this writing, the
Kindle edition is just US$ 1.99.
- Murray, Charles.
The Curmudgeon's Guide to Getting Ahead.
New York: Crown Business, 2014.
ISBN 978-0-8041-4144-4.
-
Who, after reaching middle age and having learned, through the tedious
but persuasive process of trial and error, what works and what doesn't,
how to decide who is worthy of trust, and to distinguish passing fads from
enduring values, hasn't dreamed of having a conversation with their
twenty year old self, downloading this painfully acquired wisdom to
give their younger self a leg up on the slippery, knife-edged-rungs
of the ladder of life?
This slim book (144 pages) is a concentrated dose of wisdom applicable
to young people entering the job market today. Those of my generation
and the author's (he is a few years my senior) often worked at
summer jobs during high school and part-time jobs while at
university. This provided an introduction to the workplace, with its
different social interactions than school or family life (in the
business world, don't expect to be thanked for doing your job). Today's
graduates entering the workforce often have no experience whatsoever in
that environment and are bewildered because the incentives are so different
from anything they've experienced before. They may have been a star student,
but now they find themselves doing tedious work with little intellectual
content, under strict deadlines, reporting to superiors who treat them
as replaceable minions, not colleagues. Welcome to the real world.
This is an intensely practical book. Based upon a series of postings
the author made on an internal site for interns and entry-level personnel
at the American Enterprise Institute, he gives guidelines on writing,
speaking, manners, appearance, and life strategy. As the author notes
(p. 16), “Lots of the senior people who can help or hinder
your career are closeted curmudgeons like me, including executives in
their forties who have every appearance of being open minded and cool.”
Even if you do not wish to become a curmudgeon yourself as you age (good
luck with that, dude or dudette!), your advancement in your career will
depend upon the approbation of those people you will become if you are
fortunate enough to one day advance to their positions.
As a curmudgeon myself (hey, I hadn't yet turned forty when I found myself
wandering the corridors of the company I'd founded and silently asking
myself, “Who hired that?”), I found nothing in this
book with which I disagree, and my only regret is that I
couldn't have read it when I was 20. He warns millennials, “You're
approaching adulthood with the elastic limit of a Baccarat champagne
flute” (p. 96) and counsels them to spend some of those
years when their plasticity is greatest and the penalty for errors is
minimal in stretching themselves beyond their comfort zone, preparing for
the challenges and adversity which will no doubt come later in life.
Doug Casey has said
that he could parachute naked into a country in sub-saharan Africa
and within one week be in the ruler's office pitching a development
scheme. That's rather more extreme than what Murray is advocating,
but why not go large? Geronimo!
Throughout, Murray argues that what are often disdained as
clichés are simply the accumulated wisdom of hundreds of
generations of massively parallel trial and error search of
the space of solutions of human problems, and that we ignore
them at our peril. This is the essence of conservatism—valuing
the wisdom of the past. But that does not mean one should be a
conservative in the sense of believing that the past provides a
unique template for the future. Those who came before
did not have the computational power we have, nor the ability to
communicate data worldwide almost instantaneously and nearly
for free, nor the capacity, given the will, to migrate from
Earth and make our species multi-planetary, nor to fix the
aging bug and live forever. These innovations will fundamentally
change human and post-human society, and yet I believe those
who create them, and those who prosper in those new worlds
will be exemplars of the timeless virtues which Murray
describes here.
And when you get a tattoo or piercing, consider how it will look when
you're seventy.
- Sheldrake, Rupert.
Science Set Free.
New York: Random House, 2011.
ISBN 978-0-7704-3672-8.
-
In this book, the author argues that science, as it is practiced
today, has become prisoner to a collection of dogmas which
constrain what should be free inquiry into the phenomena it
investigates. These dogmas are not the principal theories of
modern science such as the standard models of particle physics
and cosmology, quantum mechanics, general relativity, or evolution
(scientists work on a broad front to falsify these theories,
knowing that any evidence to the contrary will win a ticket to
Stockholm), but rather higher-level beliefs, often with
remarkably little experimental foundation, which few people
are working to test. It isn't so much that questioning these
dogmas will result in excommunication from science, but rather
that few working scientists ever think seriously about whether
they might be wrong.
Suppose an astrophysicist in the 1960s started raving that
everything we could see through our telescopes or had
experimented with in our laboratories made up less than 5%
of the mass of the universe, and the balance was around 27%
invisible matter whose composition we knew nothing about at
all and that the balance was invisible energy which was causing
the expansion of the universe to accelerate, defying the universal
attraction of gravity. Now, this theorist might not be dragged
off in a straitjacket, but he would probably find it very
difficult to publish his papers in respectable journals and,
if he espoused these notions before obtaining tenure, might
find them career-limiting. And yet, this is precisely
what most present-day cosmologists consider the “standard
model”, and it has been supported by experiments to a high
degree of precision.
But even this revolution in our view of the universe and
our place within it (95% of everything in the universe is
unobserved and unknown!) does not challenge the most fundamental
dogmas, ten of which are discussed in this book.
1. Is nature mechanical?
Are there self-organising principles of systems which
explain the appearance of order and complexity from
simpler systems? Do these same principles apply at levels
ranging from formation of superclusters of galaxies to the
origin of life and its evolution into ever more complex
beings? Is the universe better modelled as a mechanism
or an organism?
2. Is the total amount of matter and energy always the same?
Conservation of energy is taken almost as an axiom in physics
but is now rarely tested. And what about that dark energy?
Most cosmologists now believe that it increases without bound
as the universe expands. Where does it come from? If we could
somehow convert it to useful energy what does this do to the
conservation of energy?
3. Are the laws of nature fixed?
If these laws be fixed, where did they come from? Why do
the “fundamental constants” have the values
they do? Are they, in fact, constants? These constants
have varied in published handbooks over the last 50 years
by amounts far greater than the error bars published in
those handbooks—why? Are the laws simply habits
established by the universe as it is tested? Is this why
novel experiments produce results all over the map at the start
and then settle down on a stable value as they are repeated? Why
do crystallographers find it so difficult to initially
crystallise a new compound but then find it increasingly
easy thereafter?
4. Is matter unconscious?
If you are conscious, and you believe your brain to be purely
a material system, then how can matter be unconscious? Is
there something apart from the brain in which consciousness
is embodied? If so, what is it? If the matter of your brain
is conscious, what other matter could be conscious? The Sun
is much larger than your brain and pulses with electromagnetic
signals. Is it conscious? What does the Sun think about?
5. Is nature purposeless?
Is it plausible that the universe is the product of randomness
devoid of purpose? How did a glowing plasma of subatomic
particles organise itself into galaxies, solar systems, planets,
life, and eventually scientists who would ask how it all came
to be? Why does complexity appear to inexorably increase in
systems through which energy flows? Why do patterns assert
themselves in nature and persist even in the presence of
disruptions? Are there limits to reductionism? Is more different?
6. Is all biological inheritance material?
The softer the science, the harder the dogma. Many physical
scientists may take the previous questions as legitimate,
albeit eccentric, questions amenable to research, but to question
part of the dogma of biology is to whack the wasp nest with
the mashie niblick. Our astounding success in
sequencing the genomes of numerous organisms and understanding
how these genomes are translated (including gene regulation)
into the proteins which are assembled into those organisms has
been enlightening but has explained much less than many
enthusiasts expected. Is there something more going on?
Is that “junk DNA” really junk, or is it
significant? Is genetic transfer between parents and offspring
the only means of information transfer?
7. Are memories stored as material traces?
Try to find a neuroscientist who takes seriously the idea that
memories are not encoded somehow in the connections and weights
of synapses within the brain. And yet, for half a century,
every attempt to determine precisely how and where memories are
stored has failed. Could there be something more going on?
Recent experiments have indicated that Carolina Sphinx moths
(Manduca sexta)
remember aversions which they have
learned as caterpillars, despite their nervous system being
mostly dissolved and reconstituted during metamorphosis. How
does this work?
8. Are minds confined to brains?
Somewhere between 70 and 97% of people surveyed in Europe and
North America report having experienced the sense of being
stared at or of having another person they were staring at
from behind react to their stare. In experimental tests,
involving tens of thousands of trials, some performed over
closed circuit television without a direct visual link, 55%
of people could detect when they were being stared at, while
50% would be expected by chance. Although the effect size was
small, with the number of trials the result was highly
significant.
9. Are psychic phenomena illusory?
More than a century of psychical research has produced ever-better
controlled experiments which have converged upon results whose
significance, while small, is greater than that which has caused
clinical drug trials to have approved or rejected pharmaceuticals.
Should we reject this evidence because we can't figure out the
mechanism by which it works?
10. Is mechanistic medicine the only kind that really works?
We are the descendants of billions of generations of organisms
who survived and reproduced before the advent of doctors.
Evidently, we have been well-equipped by the ruthless process of
evolution to heal ourselves, at least until we've reproduced and
raised our offspring. Understanding of the causes of
communicable diseases, public health measures, hygiene in
hospitals, and surgical and pharmaceutical interventions
have dramatically lengthened our lifespans and increased
the years in which we are healthy and active. But does this
explain everything? Since 2009 in the United States, response
to placebos has been increasing: why? Why do we spend more and
more on interventions for the gravely ill and little or nothing
on research into complementary therapies which have been
shown, in the few formal clinical tests performed, to reduce
the incidence of these diseases?
This is a challenging book which asks many more questions than the
few I've summarised above and provides extensive information,
including citations to original sources, on research which challenges
these dogmas. The author is not advocating abolishing our
current enterprise of scientific investigation. Instead, he
suggests, we might allocate a small fraction of the budget (say,
between 1% and 5%) to look at wild-card alternatives. Allowing
these to be chosen by the public from a list of proposals through
a mechanism like crowd-funding Web sites would raise the public
profile of science and engage the public (who are, after all, footing
the bill) in the endeavour. (Note that “mainstream”
research projects, for example extending the mission of a
spacecraft, would be welcome to compete.)
- Johnson, George.
Miss Leavitt's Stars.
New York: W. W. Norton, 2005.
ISBN 978-0-393-32856-1.
-
Henrietta Swan Leavitt was a computer. No, this is not a tale
of artificial intelligence, but rather of the key discovery
which allowed astronomers to grasp the enormity of the universe.
In the late 19th century it became increasingly common for
daughters of modestly prosperous families to attend college.
Henrietta Leavitt's father was a Congregational church minister
in Ohio whose income allowed him to send his daughter to Oberlin
College in 1885. In 1888 she transferred to the Society for
the Collegiate Instruction of Women (later Radcliffe College)
in Cambridge Massachusetts where she earned a bachelor's
degree in 1892. In her senior year, she took a course in
astronomy which sparked a lifetime fascination with the stars.
After graduation, she remained in Cambridge and the next year
was volunteering at the Harvard College Observatory and was
later put on salary.
The director of the observatory, Edward Pickering, realised that
while at the time it was considered inappropriate for women to
sit up all night operating a telescope,
much of the work of astronomy consisted of tedious tasks such
as measuring the position and brightness of stars on photographic
plates, compiling catalogues, and performing analyses based upon
their data. Pickering realised that there was a pool of
college educated women (especially in the Boston area) who
were unlikely to find work as scientists but who were
perfectly capable of doing this office work so
essential to the progress of astronomy. Further, they would
work for a fraction of the salary of a professional astronomer and
Pickering, a shrewd administrator as well as a scientist,
reasoned he could boost the output of his observatory by a
substantial factor within the available budget. So it was that
Leavitt was hired to work full-time at the observatory
with a job title of “computer” and a salary of
US$ 0.25 per hour (she later got a raise to 0.30, which
is comparable to the U.S. federal minimum wage in 2013).
There was no shortage of work for Leavitt and her fellow
computers
(nicknamed “Pickering's
Harem”) to do. The major project underway at the observatory
was the creation of a catalogue of the position, magnitude, and
colour of all stars visible from the northern hemisphere to
the limiting magnitude of the telescope available. This
was done by exposing glass photographic plates in long
time exposures while keeping the telescope precisely aimed
at a given patch of the sky (although telescopes of era
had “clock drives” which approximately tracked the
apparent motion of the sky, imprecision in the mechanism required
a human observer [all men!] to track a guide star through an
eyepiece during the long exposure and manually keep the star
centred on the crosshairs with fine adjustment controls).
Since each plate covered only a small fraction of the sky,
the work of surveying the entire hemisphere was long,
tedious, and often frustrating, as a cloud might drift
across the field of view and ruin the exposure.
But if the work at the telescope was seemingly endless,
analysing the plates it produced was far more arduous.
Each plate would contain images of thousands of stars,
the position and brightness (inferred from the size of the
star's image on the plate) of which had to be measured and
recorded. Further, plates taken through different
colour filters had to be compared, with the difference
in brightness used to estimate each star's colour and
hence temperature. And if that weren't enough,
plates taken of the same field at different times were
compared to discover stars whose brightness varied from
one time to another.
There are two kinds of these
variable stars.
The first consist of multiple star systems where one star
periodically eclipses another, with the simplest case being
an “eclipsing
binary”: two stars which eclipse one another. Intrinsic
variable stars are individual stars whose brightness varies over
time, often accompanied by a change in the star's colour. Both
kinds of variable stars were important to astronomers, with
intrinsic variables offering clues to astrophysics and the
evolution of stars.
Leavitt was called a “variable star ‘fiend’ ”
by a Princeton astronomer in a letter to Pickering, commenting
on the flood of discoveries she published in the Harvard Observatory's
journals. For the ambitious Pickering, one hemisphere did not suffice.
He arranged for an observatory to be established in Arequipa Peru,
which would allow stars visible only from the southern hemisphere
to be observed and catalogued. A 24 inch telescope and its accessories
were shipped around Cape Horn from Boston, and before long the
southern sky was being photographed, with the plates sent to Harvard
for measurement and cataloguing. When the news had come to
Harvard, it was the computers, not the astronomers, who
scrutinised them to see what had been discovered.
Now, star catalogues of the kind Pickering
was preparing, however useful they were to astronomers,
were essentially two-dimensional. They give the position of
the star on the sky, but no information about how
distant it is from the solar system. Indeed, only the distances
of few dozen of the very closest stars had been measured by the
end of the 19th century by
stellar parallax,
but for all the rest of the stars their distances were a complete
mystery and consequently also the scale of the visible universe
was utterly unknown. Because the intrinsic brightness of stars
varies over an enormous range (some stars are a million times
more luminous than the Sun, which is itself ten thousand times
brighter than some dwarf stars), a star of a given magnitude
(brightness as observed from Earth) may either be a nearby
star of modest brightness or an brilliant supergiant star
far away.
One of the first intrinsic variable stars to be studied in depth was
Delta Cephei, found to be variable in 1784. It is the prototype
Cepheid variable,
many more of which were discovered by Leavitt. Cepheids are old,
massive stars, which have burnt up most of their hydrogen fuel
and vary with a characteristic sawtooth-shaped light curve with
periods ranging from days to months. In Leavitt's time the
mechanism for this variability was unknown, but it is now understood
to be due to oscillations in the star's radius as the ionisation
state of helium in the star's outer layer cycles between opaque and
transparent states, repeatedly trapping the star's energy and causing
it to expand, then releasing it, making the star contract.
When examining the plates from the telescope in Peru, Leavitt
was fascinated by the
Magellanic clouds,
which look like little bits of the Milky Way which broke off and
migrated to distant parts of the sky (we now know them to be
dwarf galaxies which may be in orbit around the Milky Way).
Leavitt became fascinated by the clouds, and by assiduous searches
on multiple plates showing them, eventually published in 1908 a list of
1,777 variable stars she had discovered in them. While astronomers
did not know the exact nature of the Magellanic clouds, they
were confident of two things: they were very distant (since stars
within them of spectral types which are inherently bright were
much dimmer than those seen elsewhere in the sky), and all of
the stars in them were about the same distance from the solar
system, since it was evident the clouds must be gravitationally
bound to persist over time.
Leavitt's 1908 paper contained one of the greatest
understatements in all of the scientific literature:
“It is worthy of notice that the brightest variables
have the longer periods.” She had discovered a
measuring stick for the universe. In examining Cepheids
among the variables in her list, she observed that there
was a simple linear relationship between the period of
pulsation and how bright the star appeared. But since all of the
Cepheids in the clouds must be at about the same distance,
that meant their absolute brightness could be
determined from their periods. This made the Cepheids
“standard candles” which could be used to chart
the galaxy and beyond. Since they are so bright, they
could be observed at great distances.
To take a simple case, suppose you observe a Cepheid in a
star cluster, and another in a
different part of the sky. The two have about the same period
of oscillation, but the one in the cluster has one quarter the
brightness at Earth of the other. Since the periods are the same, you
know the inherent luminosities of the two stars are alike, so
according to the
inverse-square law
the cluster must be twice as distant as the other star. If the
Cepheids have different periods, the relationship Leavitt discovered
can be used to compute the relative difference in their luminosity,
again allowing their distances to be compared.
This method provides a relative distance scale to as far as you
can identify and measure the periods of Cepheids, but it does not
give their absolute distances. However, if you can measure the
distance to any single Cepheid by other means, you can
now compute the absolute distance to all of them. Not without
controversy, this was accomplished, and for the first time
astronomers beheld just how enormous the galaxy was, that the
solar system was far from its centre, and that the mysterious
“spiral neublæ” many had argued were clouds of
gas or solar systems in formation were entire other galaxies among
a myriad in a universe of breathtaking size. This was the work of
others, but all of it was founded on Leavitt's discovery.
Henrietta Leavitt would not live to see all of these consequences
of her work. She died of cancer in 1921 at the age of 53, while
the debate was still raging over whether the Milky Way was the
entire universe or just one of a vast number of “island
universes”. Both sides in this controversy based their
arguments in large part upon her work.
She was paid just ten cents more per hour than a cotton
mill worker, and never given the title “astronomer”,
never made an observation with a telescope, and yet working
endless hours at her desk made one of the most profound discoveries
of 20th century astronomy, one which is still being refined by
precision measurements from the Earth and space today. While
the public hardly ever heard her name, she published her work in
professional journals and eminent astronomers were well aware of
its significance and her part in creating it. A 66 kilometre
crater on the Moon bears
her name (the one
named
after that Armstrong fellow is just 4.6 km, albeit on the
near side).
This short book is only in part a biography of Leavitt. Apart from her
work, she left few traces of her life. It is as much a story of
how astronomy was done in her days and how she and others made the
giant leap in establishing what we now call the
cosmic
distance ladder. This was a complicated process, with many
missteps and controversies along the way, which are well described
here.
In the Kindle edition
(as viewed on the iPad) the quotations
at the start of each chapter are mis-formatted so each character
appears on its own line. The index contains references to
page numbers in the print edition and is useless because
the Kindle edition contains no page numbers.