Books by Kotkin, Stephen
- Kotkin, Stephen.
Stalin, Vol. 1: Paradoxes of Power, 1878–1928.
New York: Penguin Press, 2014.
ISBN 978-0-14-312786-4.
-
In a
Levada
Center poll in 2017, Russians who responded named
Joseph Stalin the “most outstanding person” in world
history. Now, you can argue about the meaning of “outstanding”,
but it's pretty remarkable that citizens of a country whose chief
of government (albeit several regimes ago) presided over an entirely
avoidable famine which killed millions of citizens of his country,
ordered purges which executed more than 700,000 people, including senior
military leadership, leaving his nation unprepared for the German
attack in 1941, which would, until the final victory, claim the
lives of around 27 million Soviet citizens, military and civilian,
would be considered an “outstanding person” as opposed
to a super-villain.
The story of Stalin's career is even less plausible, and should give
pause to those who believe history can be predicted without the
contingency of things that “just happen”.
Ioseb Besarionis dze Jughashvili (the author uses Roman alphabet
transliterations of all individuals' names in their native
languages, which can occasionally be confusing when they
later Russified their names) was born in 1878 in the town of
Gori in the Caucasus. Gori, part of the territory of Georgia
which had long been ruled by the Ottoman Empire, had been
seized by Imperial Russia in a series of bloody conflicts
ending in the 1860s with complete incorporation of the
territory into the Czar's empire. Ioseb, who was called by
the Georgian dimunitive “Sosa” throughout his youth,
was the third son born to his parents, but, as both of his older
brothers had died not long after birth, was raised as
an only child.
Sosa's father, Besarion Jughashvili (often written in the
Russian form, Vissarion) was a shoemaker with his own shop
in Gori but, as time passed his business fell on hard times
and he closed the shop and sought other work, ending his
life as a vagrant. Sosa's mother, Ketevan “Keke”
Geladze, was ambitious and wanted the best for her son,
and left her husband and took a variety of jobs to support
the family. She arranged for eight year old Sosa to attend
Russian language lessons given to the children of a priest
in whose house she was boarding. Knowledge of Russian was
the key to advancement in Czarist Georgia, and he had a head
start when Keke arranged for him to be enrolled in the parish
school's preparatory and four year programs. He was the first
member of either side of his family to attend school and he
rose to the top of his class under the patronage of a family
friend, “Uncle Yakov” Egnatashvili. After
graduation, his options were limited. The Russian administration,
wary of the emergence of a Georgian intellectual class that
might champion independence, refused to establish a university
in the Caucasus. Sosa's best option was the highly selective
Theological Seminary in Tiflis where he would prepare, in
a six year course, for life as a parish priest or teacher in
Georgia but, for those who graduated near the top, could lead
to a scholarship at a university in another part of the empire.
He took the examinations and easily passed, gaining
admission, petitioning and winning a partial scholarship
that paid most of his fees. “Uncle Yakov” paid
the rest, and he plunged into his studies. Georgia was in
the midst of an intense campaign of Russification, and
Sosa further perfected his skills in the Russian language.
Although completely fluent in spoken and written Russian
along with his native Georgian (the languages are completely
unrelated, having no more in common than Finnish and
Italian), he would speak Russian with a Georgian
accent all his life and did not publish in the Russian
language until he was twenty-nine years old.
Long a voracious reader, at the seminary Sosa joined a
“forbidden literature” society which smuggled in
and read works, not banned by the Russian authorities, but
deemed unsuitable for priests in training. He read classics
of Russian, French, English, and German literature and science,
including Capital by Karl Marx. The latter would
transform his view of the world and path in life. He
made the acquaintance of a former seminarian and committed
Marxist, Lado Ketskhoveli, who would guide his studies.
In August 1898, he joined the newly formed “Third
Group of Georgian Marxists”—many years later
Stalin would date his “party card” to then.
Prior to 1905, imperial Russia was an absolute autocracy. The
Czar ruled with no limitations on his power. What he decreed
and ordered his functionaries to do was law.
There was no parliament, political parties, elected
officials of any kind, or permanent administrative state
that did not serve at the pleasure of the monarch. Political
activity and agitation were illegal, as were publishing and
distributing any kind of political literature deemed to
oppose imperial rule. As Sosa became increasingly
radicalised, it was only a short step from devout seminarian
to underground agitator. He began to neglect his studies,
became increasingly disrespectful to authority figures, and,
in April 1899, left the seminary before taking his final
examinations.
Saddled with a large debt to the seminary for leaving without
becoming a priest or teacher,
he drifted into writing articles for small, underground
publications associated with the Social Democrat movement,
at the time the home of most Marxists. He took to public speaking
and, while eschewing fancy flights of oratory, spoke directly
to the meetings of workers he addressed in their own dialect
and terms. Inevitably, he was arrested for “incitement
to disorder and insubordination against higher authority”
in April 1902 and jailed. After fifteen months in prison at
Batum, he was sentenced to three years of internal exile in
Siberia. In January 1904 he escaped and made it back to
Tiflis, in Georgia, where he resumed his underground career.
By this time the Social Democratic movement had fractured into
Lenin's Bolshevik faction and the larger Menshevik group.
Sosa, who during his imprisonment had adopted the revolutionary
nickname “Koba”, after the hero in a Georgian
novel of revenge, continued to write and speak and, in
1905, after the Czar was compelled to cede some of his
power to a parliament, organised Battle Squads which stole
printing equipment, attacked government forces, and raised
money through protection rackets targeting businesses.
In 1905, Koba Jughashvili was elected one of three Bolshevik
delegates from Georgia to attend the Third Congress of the
Russian Social Democratic Workers' Party in Tampere,
Finland, then part of the Russian empire. It was there
he first met Lenin, who had been living in exile in
Switzerland. Koba had read Lenin's prolific writings
and admired his leadership of the Bolshevik cause, but was
unimpressed in this first in-person encounter. He vocally
took issue with Lenin's position that Bolsheviks should
seek seats in the newly-formed State Duma (parliament). When
Lenin backed down in the face of opposition, he said,
“I expected to see the mountain eagle of our party,
a great man, not only politically but physically, for I had
formed for myself a picture of Lenin as a giant, as a stately
representative figure of a man. What was my disappointment
when I saw the most ordinary individual, below average height,
distinguished from ordinary mortals by, literally, nothing.”
Returning to Georgia, he resumed his career as an underground
revolutionary including, famously, organising a robbery of the
Russian State Bank in Tiflis in which three
dozen people were killed and two dozen more injured,
“expropriating” 250,000 rubles for the Bolshevik
cause. Koba did not participate directly, but he was the
mastermind of the heist. This and other banditry, criminal
enterprises, and unauthorised publications resulted in
multiple arrests, imprisonments, exiles to Siberia, escapes,
re-captures, and life underground in the years that followed.
In 1912, while living underground in Saint Petersburg after
yet another escape, he was named the first editor of the
Bolshevik party's new daily newspaper, Pravda,
although his name was kept secret. In 1913, with the
encouragement of Lenin, he wrote an article titled
“Marxism and the National Question” in which he
addressed how a Bolshevik regime should approach the diverse
ethnicities and national identities of the Russian Empire.
As a Georgian Bolshevik, Jughashvili was seen as uniquely
qualified and credible to address this thorny question. He
published the article under the nom
de plume “K. [for Koba] Stalin”, which literally
translated, meant “Man of Steel” and paralleled
Lenin's pseudonym. He would use this name for the rest
of his life, reverting to the Russified form of his given name,
“Joseph” instead of the nickname Koba (by which his close
associates would continue to address him informally). I shall,
like the author, refer to him subsequently as “Stalin”.
When Russia entered the Great War in 1914, events were set into
motion which would lead to the end of Czarist rule, but Stalin
was on the sidelines: in exile in Siberia, where he spent much
of his time fishing. In late 1916, as manpower shortages became
acute, exiled Bolsheviks including Stalin received notices of
conscription into the army, but when he appeared at the induction
centre he was rejected due to a crippled left arm, the result of a
childhood injury. It was only after the abdication of the Czar
in the February Revolution of 1917 that he returned to Saint
Petersburg, now renamed Petrograd, and resumed his work for the
Bolshevik cause. In April 1917, in elections to the Bolshevik
Central Committee, Stalin came in third after Lenin (who had returned
from exile in Switzerland) and Zinoviev. Despite having been out
of circulation for several years, Stalin's reputation from his
writings and editorship of Pravda, which he resumed,
elevated him to among the top rank of the party.
As Kerensky's Provisional Government attempted to consolidate its
power and continue the costly and unpopular war, Stalin and
Trotsky joined Lenin's call for a Bolshevik coup to seize power,
and Stalin was involved in all aspects of the eventual October
Revolution, although often behind the scenes, while Lenin was
the public face of the Bolshevik insurgency.
After seizing power, the Bolsheviks faced challenges from all
directions. They had to disentangle Russia from the
Great War without leaving the country open to attack and
territorial conquest by Germany or Poland. Despite their
ambitious name, they were a minority party and had to subdue
domestic opposition. They took over a country which the debts
incurred by the Czar to fund the war had effectively
bankrupted. They had to exert their control over a sprawling,
polyglot empire in which, outside of the big cities, their party
had little or no presence. They needed to establish their
authority over a military in which the officer corps largely
regarded the Czar as their legitimate leader. They must
restore agricultural production, severely disrupted by
levies of manpower for the war, before famine brought
instability and the risk of a counter-coup. And for facing these
formidable problems, all at the same time, they were
utterly unprepared.
The Bolsheviks were, to a man (and they were all men), professional
revolutionaries. Their experience was in writing and publishing
radical tracts and works of Marxist theory, agitating and organising
workers in the cities, carrying out acts of terror against the
regime, and funding their activities through banditry and other
forms of criminality. There was not a military man, agricultural
expert, banker, diplomat, logistician, transportation specialist,
or administrator among them, and suddenly they needed all of these
skills and more, plus the ability to recruit and staff an administration
for a continent-wide empire. Further, although Lenin's leadership
was firmly established and undisputed, his subordinates
were all highly ambitious men seeking to establish and increase
their power in the chaotic and fluid situation.
It was in this environment that Stalin made his mark as the
reliable “fixer”. Whether it was securing levies of
grain from the provinces, putting down resistance from
counter-revolutionary White forces, stamping out opposition from
other parties, developing policies for dealing with the diverse
nations incorporated into the Russian Empire (indeed, in a real
sense, it was Stalin who invented the Soviet Union as a nominal
federation of autonomous republics which, in fact, were subject
to Party control from Moscow), or implementing Lenin's orders,
even when he disagreed with them, Stalin was on the job. Lenin
recognised Stalin's importance as his right hand man by creating
the post of General Secretary of the party and appointing him to
it.
This placed Stalin at the centre of the party apparatus. He
controlled who was hired, fired, and promoted. He controlled
access to Lenin (only Trotsky could see Lenin without going
through Stalin). This was a finely-tuned machine which
allowed Lenin to exercise absolute power through a party machine
which Stalin had largely built and operated.
Then, in May of 1922, the unthinkable happened: Lenin was felled
by a stroke which left him partially paralysed. He retreated to
his dacha at Gorki to recuperate, and his communication with the
other senior leadership was almost entirely through Stalin. There
had been no thought of or plan for a succession after Lenin (he was
only fifty-two at the time of his first stroke, although he had
been unwell for much of the previous year). As Lenin's health
declined, ending in his death in January 1924, Stalin increasingly
came to run the party and, through it, the government. He had
appointed loyalists in key positions, who saw their own careers
as linked to that of Stalin. By the end of 1924, Stalin began to
move against the “Old Bolsheviks” who he saw as
rivals and potential threats to his consolidation of power. When
confronted with opposition, on three occasions he threatened to
resign, each exercise in brinksmanship strengthening his grip
on power, as the party feared the chaos that would ensue from
a power struggle at the top. His status was reflected in 1925
when the city of Tsaritsyn was renamed Stalingrad.
This ascent to supreme power was not universally applauded.
Felix Dzierzynski
(Polish born, he is often better known by
the Russian spelling of his name, Dzerzhinsky) who, as the
founder of the Soviet secret police (Cheka/GPU/OGPU) knew
a few things about dictatorship, warned in 1926, the year
of his death, that “If we do not find the correct
line and pace of development our opposition will grow and
the country will get its dictator, the grave digger of the
revolution irrespective of the beautiful feathers on his
costume.”
With or without feathers, the dictatorship was beginning to
emerge. In 1926 Stalin published “On Questions of Leninism”
in which he introduced the concept of “Socialism in One
Country” which, presented as orthodox Leninist doctrine
(which it wasn't), argued that world revolution was unnecessary
to establish communism in a single country. This set the stage
for the collectivisation of agriculture and rapid
industrialisation which was to come. In 1928, what was to
be the prototype of the show trials of the 1930s opened in
Moscow, the
Shakhty
trial, complete with accusations of industrial sabotage
(“wrecking”), denunciations of class enemies,
and Andrei Vyshinsky presiding as chief judge. Of the
fifty-three engineers accused, five were executed and forty-four
imprisoned. A country desperately short on the professionals
its industry needed to develop had begin to devour them.
It is a mistake to regard Stalin purely as a dictator obsessed
with accumulating and exercising power and destroying
rivals, real or imagined. The one consistent theme throughout
Stalin's career was that he was a true believer. He was a
devout believer in the Orthodox faith while at the seminary,
and he seamlessly transferred his allegiance to Marxism once
he had been introduced to its doctrines. He had mastered
the difficult works of Marx and could cite them from memory
(as he often did spontaneously to buttress his arguments
in policy disputes), and went on to similarly internalise
the work of Lenin. These principles guided his actions, and
motivated him to apply them rigidly, whatever the cost may
be.
Starting in 1921, Lenin had introduced the
New
Economic Policy, which lightened state control over
the economy and, in particular, introduced market reforms in
the agricultural sector, resulting in a mixed economy in
which socialism reigned in big city industries, but
in the countryside the peasants operated under a kind of
market economy. This policy had restored agricultural
production to pre-revolutionary levels and largely ended food
shortages in the cities and countryside. But to a doctrinaire
Marxist, it seemed to risk destruction of the regime. Marx
believed that the political system was determined by the means of
production. Thus, accepting what was essentially a
capitalist economy in the agricultural sector was to infect
the socialist government with its worst enemy.
Once Stalin had completed his consolidation of power, he
then proceeded as Marxist doctrine demanded: abolish
the New Economic Policy and undertake the forced collectivisation
of agriculture. This began in 1928.
And it is with this momentous decision that the present volume
comes to an end. This massive work (976 pages in the print
edition) is just the first in a planned three volume biography
of Stalin. The second volume,
Stalin: Waiting for Hitler,
1929–1941,
was published in 2017 and the concluding volume is not yet
completed.
Reading this book, and the entire series, is a major investment
of time in a single historical figure. But, as the author observes,
if you're interested in the phenomenon of twentieth century
totalitarian dictatorship, Stalin is the gold standard. He
amassed more power, exercised by a single person with essentially
no checks or limits, over more people and a larger portion of the
Earth's surface than any individual in human history. He ruled
for almost thirty years, transformed the economy of his country,
presided over deliberate famines, ruthless purges, and pervasive
terror that killed tens of millions, led his country to victory
at enormous cost in the largest land conflict in history and
ended up exercising power over half of the European continent,
and built a military which rivaled that of the West in a
bipolar struggle for global hegemony.
It is impossible to relate the history of Stalin without describing
the context in which it occurred, and this is as much a history of
the final days of imperial Russia, the revolutions of 1917, and the
establishment and consolidation of Soviet power as of Stalin himself.
Indeed, in this first volume, there are lengthy parts of the narrative
in which Stalin is largely offstage: in prison, internal exile, or
occupied with matters peripheral to the main historical events. The
level of detail is breathtaking: the Bolsheviks seem to have been as
compulsive record-keepers as Germans are reputed to be, and not
only are the votes of seemingly every committee meeting recorded, but
who voted which way and why. There are more than two hundred pages
of end notes, source citations, bibliography, and index.
If you are interested in Stalin, the Soviet Union, the phenomenon
of Bolshevism, totalitarian dictatorship, or how destructive
madness can grip a civilised society for decades, this is an
essential work. It is unlikely it will ever be equalled.
December 2018
- Kotkin, Stephen.
Stalin, Vol. 2: Waiting for Hitler, 1929–1941.
New York: Penguin Press, 2017.
ISBN 978-1-59420-380-0.
-
This is the second volume in the author's monumental projected
three-volume biography of Joseph Stalin. The first volume,
Stalin: Paradoxes of Power, 1878–1928
(December 2018) covers the period from Stalin's birth through
the consolidation of his sole power atop the Soviet state after
the death of Lenin. The third volume, which will cover the
period from the Nazi invasion of the Soviet Union in 1941 through
the death of Stalin in 1953 has yet to be published.
As this volume begins in 1928, Stalin is securely in the
supreme position of the Communist Party of the Soviet
Union, and having over the years staffed the senior ranks
of the party and the Soviet state (which the party operated
like the puppet it was) with loyalists who owed their positions
to him, had no serious rivals who might challenge him. (It is
often claimed that Stalin was paranoid and feared a coup, but
would a despot fearing for his position regularly take
summer holidays, months in length, in Sochi, far from the capital?)
By 1928, the Soviet Union had largely recovered from the damage
inflicted by the Great War, Bolshevik revolution, and subsequent
civil war. Industrial and agricultural production were back to
around their 1914 levels, and most measures of well-being had
similarly recovered. To be sure, compared to the developed
industrial economies of countries such as Germany, France, or
Britain, Russia remained a backward economy largely based upon
primitive agriculture, but at least it had undone the damage
inflicted by years of turbulence and conflict.
But in the eyes of Stalin and his close associates, who were ardent
Marxists, there was a dangerous and potentially deadly internal
contradiction in the Soviet system as it then stood. In 1921, in
response to the chaos and famine following the 1917 revolution and
years-long civil war, Lenin had proclaimed the
New
Economic Policy (NEP), which tempered the pure
collectivism of original Bolshevik doctrine by introducing a
mixed economy, where large enterprises would continue to be
owned and managed by the state, but small-scale businesses
could be privately owned and run for profit. More importantly,
agriculture, which had previously been managed under a top-down
system of coercive requisitioning of grain and other products
by the state, was replaced by a market system where farmers
could sell their products freely, subject to a tax, payable in
product, proportional to their production (and thus creating an
incentive to increase production).
The NEP was a great success, and shortages of agricultural
products were largely eliminated. There was grousing about
the growing prosperity of the so-called
NEPmen, but the
results of freeing the economy from the shackles of state
control were evident to all. But according to Marxist doctrine, it was
a dagger pointed at the heart of the socialist state.
By 1928, the Soviet economy could be described, in Marxist
terms, as socialism in the industrial cities and capitalism in
the agrarian countryside. But, according to Marx, the
form of politics was determined by the organisation of the
means of production—paraphrasing Brietbart, politics is
downstream of economics. This meant that preserving capitalism
in a large sector of the country, one employing a large
majority of its population and necessary to feed the cities,
was an existential risk. In such a situation it would only be
normal for the capitalist peasants to eventually prevail over
the less numerous urbanised workers and destroy socialism.
Stalin was a Marxist. He was not an opportunist who used
Marxism-Leninism to further his own ambitions. He really
believed this stuff. And so, in 1928, he proclaimed an
end to the NEP and began the forced collectivisation of Soviet
agriculture. Private ownership of land would be abolished, and
the 120 million peasants essentially enslaved as “workers”
on collective or state farms, with planting, quotas to
be delivered, and management essentially controlled by the party.
After an initial lucky year, the inevitable catastrophe ensued. Between 1931
and 1933 famine and epidemics resulting from it killed between
five and seven million people. The country lost around half of
its cattle and two thirds of its sheep. In 1929, the average
family in Kazakhstan owned 22.6 cattle; in 1933 3.7. This was
a calamity on the same order as the Jewish Holocaust in Germany,
and just as man-made: during this period there was a global glut
of food, but Stalin refused to admit the magnitude of the
disaster for fear of inciting enemies to attack and because doing so
would concede the failure of his collectivisation project.
In addition to the famine, the process of collectivisation
resulted in between four and five million people being arrested,
executed, deported to other regions, or jailed.
Many in the starving countryside said, “If only Stalin
knew, he would do something.” But the evidence is
overwhelming: Stalin knew, and did nothing. Marxist theory
said that agriculture must be collectivised, and by pure force
of will he pushed through the project, whatever the cost. Many
in the senior Soviet leadership questioned this single-minded
pursuit of a theoretical goal at horrendous human cost, but they
did not act to stop it. But Stalin remembered their opposition
and would settle scores with them later.
By 1936, it appeared that the worst of the period of
collectivisation was over. The peasants, preferring to live
in slavery than starve to death, had acquiesced to their fate
and resumed production, and the weather co-operated in
producing good harvests. And then, in 1937, a new horror
was unleashed upon the Soviet people, also completely man-made
and driven by the will of Stalin, the
Great Terror.
Starting slowly in the aftermath of the assassination of
Sergey Kirov
in 1934, by 1937 the absurd devouring of those most
loyal to the Soviet regime, all over Stalin's signature, reached
a crescendo. In 1937 and 1938 1,557,259 people would be
arrested and 681,692 executed, the overwhelming majority for
political offences, this in a country with a working-age population
of 100 million. Counting deaths from other causes as a
result of the secret police, the overall death toll was probably
around 830,000. This was so bizarre, and so unprecedented in
human history, it is difficult to find any comparable situation, even in
Nazi Germany. As the author remarks,
To be sure, the greater number of victims were ordinary Soviet
people, but what regime liquidates colossal numbers of
loyal officials? Could Hitler—had
he been so inclined—have compelled the imprisonment or
execution of huge swaths of Nazi factory and farm bosses, as well
as almost all of the Nazi provincial Gauleiters and their
staffs, several times over? Could he have executed the personnel
of the Nazi central ministries, thousands of his Wehrmacht
officers—including almost his entire high command—as
well as the Reich's diplomatic corps and its espionage agents, its
celebrated cultural figures, and the leadership of Nazi parties
throughout the world (had such parties existed)? Could Hitler
also have decimated the Gestapo even while it was carrying
out a mass bloodletting? And could the German people have been
told, and would the German people have found plausible, that almost
everyone who had come to power with the Nazi revolution turned out
to be a foreign agent and saboteur?
Stalin did all of these things. The damage inflicted upon the Soviet
military, at a time of growing threats, was horrendous. The terror
executed or imprisoned three of the five marshals of the Soviet Union,
13 of 15 full generals, 8 of the 9 admirals of the Navy, and 154 of
186 division commanders. Senior managers, diplomats, spies, and
party and government officials were wiped out in comparable
numbers in the all-consuming cataclysm. At the very moment the
Soviet state was facing threats from Nazi Germany in the west and
Imperial Japan in the east, it destroyed those most qualified to
defend it in a paroxysm of paranoia and purification from phantasmic
enemies.
And then, it all stopped, or largely tapered off. This did nothing
for those who had been executed, or who were still confined in the
camps spread all over the vast country, but at least there was a
respite from the knocks in the middle of the night and the
cascading denunciations for fantastically absurd imagined
“crimes”. (In June 1937, eight high-ranking Red
Army officers, including
Marshal Tukachevsky,
were denounced as “Gestapo agents”. Three of those
accused were Jews.)
But now the international situation took priority over
domestic “enemies”. The Bolsheviks, and Stalin in
particular, had always viewed the Soviet Union as surrounded
by enemies. As the vanguard of the proletarian revolution, by
definition those states on its borders must be reactionary
capitalist-imperialist or fascist regimes hostile to or
actively bent upon the destruction of the peoples' state.
With Hitler on the march in Europe and Japan expanding its
puppet state in China, potentially hostile powers were
advancing toward Soviet borders from two directions. Worse,
there was a loose alliance between Germany and Japan, raising
the possibility of a two-front war which would engage Soviet
forces in conflicts on both ends of its territory. What Stalin feared most,
however, was an alliance of the capitalist states (in which
he included Germany, despite its claim to be “National
Socialist”) against the Soviet Union. In particular, he dreaded
some kind of arrangement between Britain and Germany which might
give Britain supremacy on the seas and its far-flung
colonies, while acknowledging German domination of continental
Europe and a free hand to expand toward the East at the
expense of the Soviet Union.
Stalin was faced with an extraordinarily difficult choice: make
some kind of deal with Britain (and possibly France) in the hope
of deterring a German attack upon the Soviet Union, or cut a deal
with Germany, linking the German and Soviet economies in a trade
arrangement which the Germans would be loath to destroy by
aggression, lest they lose access to the raw materials which the
Soviet Union could supply to their war machine. Stalin's ultimate
calculation, again grounded in Marxist theory, was that the
imperialist powers were fated to eventually fall upon one another
in a destructive war for domination, and that by standing aloof, the
Soviet Union stood to gain by encouraging socialist revolutions in
what remained of them after that war had run its course.
Stalin evaluated his options and made his choice. On August
27, 1939, a
“non-aggression treaty”
was signed in Moscow between Nazi Germany and the Soviet Union.
But the treaty went far beyond what was made public. Secret
protocols defined “spheres of influence”, including
how Poland would be divided among the two parties in the case of
war. Stalin viewed this treaty as a triumph: yes, doctrinaire
communists (including many in the West) would be aghast at a
deal with fascist Germany, but at a blow, Stalin had eliminated
the threat of an anti-Soviet alliance between Germany and Britain,
linked Germany and the Soviet Union in a trade arrangement whose
benefits to Germany would deter aggression and, in the case of war
between Germany and Britain and France (for which he hoped), might
provide an opportunity to recover territory once in the czar's
empire which had been lost after the 1917 revolution.
Initially, this strategy appeared to be working swimmingly. The
Soviets were shipping raw materials they had in abundance to
Germany and receiving high-technology industrial equipment and
weapons which they could immediately put to work and/or reverse-engineer
to make domestically. In some cases, they even received blueprints
or complete factories for making strategic products. As the
German economy became increasingly dependent upon Soviet shipments,
Stalin perceived this as leverage over the actions of Germany,
and responded to delays in delivery of weapons by slowing down
shipments of raw materials essential to German war production.
On September 1st, 1939,
Nazi Germany
invaded Poland, just a week
after the signing of the pact between Germany and the Soviet Union.
On September 3rd, France and Britain declared war on Germany. Here
was the “war among the imperialists” of which Stalin had
dreamed. The Soviet Union could stand aside, continue to trade with
Nazi Germany, while the combatants bled each other white, and then,
in the aftermath, support socialist revolutions in their
countries. On September 17th the Soviet Union, pursuant to the
secret protocol,
invaded
Poland from the east and joined the Nazi forces in eradicating
that nation. Ominously, greater Germany and the Soviet Union now
shared a border.
After the start of hostilities, a state of “phoney
war” existed until Germany struck against Denmark,
Norway, and France in April and May 1940. At first, this
appeared precisely what Stalin had hoped for: a general
conflict among the “imperialist powers” with
the Soviet Union not only uninvolved, but having reclaimed
territory in Poland, the Baltic states, and Bessarabia which
had once belonged to the Tsars. Now there was every reason to
expect a long war of attrition in which the Nazis and their
opponents would grind each other down, as in the previous
world war, paving the road for socialist revolutions everywhere.
But then, disaster ensued. In less than six weeks, France collapsed
and Britain evacuated its expeditionary force from the Continent.
Now, it appeared, Germany reigned supreme, and might turn its
now largely idle army toward conquest in the East. After consolidating
the position in the west and indefinitely deferring an invasion of Britain
due to inability to obtain air and sea superiority in the
English Channel, Hitler began to concentrate his forces on
the eastern frontier. Disinformation, spread where Soviet
spy networks would pick it up and deliver it to Stalin, whose
prejudices it confirmed, said that the troop concentrations were
in preparation for an assault on British positions in the Near
East or to blackmail the Soviet Union to obtain, for example, a
long term lease on its breadbasket, the Ukraine.
Hitler, acutely aware that it was a two-front war which spelled
disaster to Germany in the last war, rationalised his attack on the
Soviet Union as follows. Yes, Britain had not been defeated, but
their only hope was an eventual alliance with the Soviet Union,
opening a second front against Germany. Knocking out the
Soviet Union (which should be no more difficult than the victory
over France, which took just six weeks), would preclude this possibility
and force Britain to come to terms. Meanwhile, Germany would have
secured access to raw materials in Soviet territory for which it
was previously paying market prices, but were now available for the cost
of extraction and shipping.
The volume concludes on June 21st, 1941, the eve of the Nazi invasion of
the Soviet Union. There could not have been more signs that this
was coming: Soviet spies around the world sent evidence, and Britain
even shared (without identifying the source) decrypted German
messages about troop dispositions and war plans. But none of
this disabused Stalin of his idée
fixe: Germany would not attack because Soviet exports were
so important. Indeed, in 1940, 40 percent of nickel, 55 percent of
manganese, 65 percent of chromium, 67% of asbestos, 34% of petroleum,
and a million tonnes of grain and timber which supported the Nazi
war machine were delivered by the Soviet Union. Hours before the
Nazi onslaught began, well after the order for it was given, a
Soviet train delivering grain, manganese, and oil crossed the
border between Soviet-occupied and German-occupied Poland, bound
for Germany. Stalin's delusion persisted until reality intruded
with dawn.
This is a magisterial work. It is unlikely it will
ever be equalled. There is abundant rich detail on every page.
Want to know what the telephone number for the Latvian consulate
in Leningrad was 1934? It's right here on page 206 (5-50-63).
Too often, discussions of Stalin assume he was a kind of
murderous madman. This book is a salutary antidote. Everything
Stalin did made perfect sense when viewed in the context of the
beliefs which Stalin held, shared by his Bolshevik
contemporaries and those he promoted to the inner circle. Yes,
they seem crazy, and they were, but no less crazy than
politicians in the United States advocating the abolition of air
travel and the extermination of cows in order to save a planet
which has managed just fine for billions of years without the
intervention of bug-eyed, arm-waving ignoramuses.
Reading this book is a major investment of time. It is 1154
pages, with 910 pages of main text and illustrations, and will
noticeably bend spacetime in its vicinity. But there is so much
wisdom, backed with detail, that you will savour every
page and, when you reach the end, crave the publication of the
next volume. If you want to understand totalitarian
dictatorship, you have to ultimately understand Stalin, who
succeeded at it for more than thirty years until ultimately
felled by illness, not conquest or coup, and who built the
primitive agrarian nation he took over into a superpower. Some
of us thought that the death of Stalin and, decades later, the
demise of the Soviet Union, brought an end to all that. And
yet, today, in the West, we have politicians advocating central
planning, collectivisation, and limitations on free speech which
are entirely consistent with the policies of Uncle Joe. After
reading this book and thinking about it for a while, I have
become convinced that Stalin was a patriot who believed that what
he was doing was in the best interest of the Soviet people. He
was sure the (laughably absurd) theories he believed and applied
were the best way to build the future. And he was willing to
force them into being whatever the cost may be. So it is today,
and let us hope those made aware of the costs documented in this
history will be immunised against the siren song of collectivist
utopia.
Author Stephen Kotkin did a two-part Uncommon
Knowledge interview about the book in 2018. In the first
part he discusses
collectivisation
and the terror. In the second, he discusses
Stalin
and Hitler, and the events leading up to the Nazi invasion
of the Soviet Union.
May 2019